Sports Statistics

Sports statistics — the compass to a winning ticket

People love to talk about “instinct” or a “nose for goals,” but profit doesn’t fall from the sky: it comes from numbers that stack up while the match is still being played. Every rebound by Nikola Jokić, every xG decimal in the Premier League, every first-serve % at Wimbledon tells a story that the odds don’t immediately price in. Understanding that story means seeing the value before everyone else. Meridianbet puts those data points right in front of you: statistics become navigation, and navigation becomes a winning ticket.
Explore the full betting offer and test these ideas in practice—using our hubs for sports results today (spanning world sports results, soccer results, nba results, and more).

Basketball — from Jokić to the KLS: stats that flip a game

Basketball is a sport where two or three possessions can turn everything around—and move a price. The key is metrics that reveal pace and efficiency before the crowd notices (our live panels sit next to the latest nba results to keep context clear).

Jokić — a points factory by the numbers
Nikola Jokić keeps proving that advanced data move the market faster than narratives. When his PER clears 30 in three straight games, Meridianbet bumps his points line by +2 to +4 the very next outing. If he strings together double-digit rebounds plus eight or more assists, the triple-double specials pop immediately: historically, that profile leads to a triple-double in roughly one out of three games.

Add the numbers up, check TS% — find the value
Quick test: add Jokić’s points + rebounds + assists across his last five games. If the average sits ≥ 3 above the posted line, the price is lagging.
Advanced signal: TS% and usage rate. If his TS% is > 65% for three consecutive games while usage doesn’t dip below 24%, he’s both efficient and central to every possession. That often means Over points… and Over assists too (defenses double, he punishes with the pass).

Factors that accelerate his scoring
Another tell: if Jokić enters the bonus early (two quick fouls on the opposing 5, or ≥ 4 free throws before Q1 ends), his free-throw points can climb up to +40%. Spot that live and hit the Over before the line spikes.
Example: 18/12/2024, Denver–LA Clippers. PER 32, points line 25.5 → 28.5; he scores 31. TS% over the prior three: 69%. Anyone who grabbed the Over before the rise captured the value.

KLS — stats in the service of a better ticket
In the KLS (Serbia) the handicap is often decided beyond the arc. When a team lifts its offensive rating by +5 pts/100 possessions across three rounds, the posted total tends to sit 4–6 points below reality—at least until the next weekend. An even stronger signal: ≥ 35% from three over five straight games → the underdog covers 6/10 times, home or away. Check the last three 3P% games and the rival’s perimeter defense before you click confirm.

Football — stats that lead to a logical price

Advanced metrics show what lies under the scoreline. A goal can be random, but xG, conversion rate and pressing (PPDA) rarely lie. Read properly, they tell you where prices are heading before the team even leaves the tunnel. Keep them side-by-side with soccer results (and when you need granularity: live soccer results and competition pages like premier league results, bundesliga results, and premier league results today/table).

Premier League statistics — the signal before the drop
In England, prices are brutally accurate, yet Premier League statistics still reveal cracks.
• A side with 4W-1D over its last five rounds covers the handicap ≈ 70% of the time, provided the opposition were at least mid-table.
• Three clean sheets in a row → the market pulls toward Under 2.5… sometimes too far. Models can mistake “lucky survival” for truly dominant defending.
• That’s when PPDA (passes allowed per defensive action) helps: < 10 = aggressive pressing, so the “zero” comes from pressure → Under trend + solid favourite handicap.
• If PPDA stays high, the clean sheet is likely situational → consider BTTS or + handicap on the outsider.

Example: November 2024, Arsenal.
Three-match clean-sheet run with PPDA 9.2; Under 2.5 drops 1.95 → 1.70; vs Wolves it finishes 2–0 — trend confirmed.

Serbian SuperLiga — home favourites

At home, favourites often take the points, but statistics show how much that superiority is over- or under-estimated.
When possession regularly exceeds 60% and the xG home − xG away gap is ≥ +0.8, the true handicap line tends to –1.5 or even –2. Yet books often open at –1 (uneven pitches, weather).
If the home side is on five straight clean sheets at their stadium, history shows they cover the extended handicap 7 times out of 10. The market reacts slowly: adjustments arrive only after two big wins in a row — the value sits between advanced numbers and still-old margins.
Example: 06/04/2025, Red Star vs Vozdovac — possession 64%, xG diff +1.0, market stays at –1.25. Final 3–0: handicap cleared with ease.
(Track context against soccer results or even live soccer results; for cross-league reference, compare with bundesliga results or bundesliga results today as a benchmark for home dominance.)

Tennis — serve, break and games

In tennis, everything moves fast: one good serve, one break, and the price shifts. If you know which numbers to check pre-match, you’re a step ahead — keep them next to the live centre for tennis results, tennis results today, and live tennis results.

First serve = security
Above 65% first serves, a player protects service games comfortably → tiebreak likely, so Over 22.5 games makes sense.
Below 55%, even a favourite becomes vulnerable: the outsider can outperform expectations → consider +4.5 games or even Under 21.5.

Who breaks more — WTA or ATP?
Among women, breaks are more frequent (3–4 per set), so the outsider can spring a surprise → handicap in her favour becomes appealing.
Among men, breaks are rarer; against an elite returner (Rublev, Alcaraz), you can target Under 9.5 games in a set.
(Use event pages like Australian Open tennis results or Davis Cup tennis results to validate how the serve/return pattern plays out in reality.)

Surface changes everything
On clay, play is slower: more breaks, fewer aces. A mediocre server + clay = a good window to back break-heavy scenarios, Unders, or a handicap against the favourite.
Example: in Rome, Świątek posted a high break-point conversion. Line –3.5 games, she won 6–2, 6–4 — handicap landed comfortably.

Statistics in practice — a mini checklist before you bet

Stats matter only if you apply them. Before you click place bet, do three quick steps (under five minutes) — the difference shows up on the slip.

1) Check live results for a fast read on form and momentum
Open the hub for sports results today — drill into world sports results, then down to your match (football pages show today soccer live scores and results alongside team form).

2) Meridianbet sources & tools — up-to-date numbers
On Meridianbet, data isn’t hidden: everything is two clicks away, ready to confirm or reject your idea. Pair your view with league centres like premier league results, premier league results today, and the premier league results table; compare patterns across euro basketball results, nba results (or the latest nba results), and even college basketball results / ncaa basketball results live when you need basketball parallels.

3) Live stats & pace graphs
Live panels update from advanced feeds and track everything from minute one:

• Basketball: attack-tempo graph and rebound ratio in real time (great context next to nba results).
• Football: an xG live line — shows chance quality, not just goals; use it with soccer england premier league results or bundesliga results to spot mispriced totals.
• Tennis: serve-momentum graphs and first-serve % refresh on every toss (mirror with live tennis results).

If the pace graph flags a sudden tempo drop or a possession spike for the outsider, the line is often not fully adjusted yet. Treat it as a value signal and act while the window is open.

Open the live market to track all metrics while the match is in play.

Cash-out calculator & trend alerts

The second tool is the cash-out calculator. It opens right on your bet slip and computes the amount you can cash out if you close now.
• It tracks the live price movement and suggests the best exit moment.
• It compares potential profit with statistical risk using the current numbers.

Trend alerts are short notifications that pop up at the top of the screen when the algorithm detects a sharp deviation from the average:
• if a team records 3 shots on target in 5 minutes, or a basketball side goes on a 10–0 run, you get an alert;
• one click takes you straight to the live market before the lines fully adjust.

By combining live statistics with rapid-reaction tools, you gain a few minutes’ head start—often the difference between an average price and real value. This works across competitions: from sports results soccer pages (e.g., premier league results, premier league results today, the premier league results table, or bundesliga results) to racquet hubs like tennis results, live tennis results, sports tennis results today, Australian Open tennis results, or Davis Cup tennis results—and of course basketball centres with euro basketball results, nba results, and the latest nba results within broader world sports results.

Glossary of key terms

1. xG (expected goals): expected goals based on the quality of chances created; estimates how many goals a team should score.
2. PER (Player Efficiency Rating): advanced basketball metric that combines a player’s contributions into a single index, adjusted for minutes.
3. TS% (true shooting percentage): precise measure of shooting efficiency (2s, 3s and free throws).
4. Usage rate: percentage of possessions a player finishes while on the floor (offensive load).
5. PPDA (passes per defensive action): number of passes allowed to the opponent before a defensive action; lower means more aggressive pressing.

Conclusion — statistics as a permanent compass

Numbers don’t guarantee a result, but they are a bettor’s most reliable heading. Analyse form, compare it to the line, and always add context. Meridianbet gives you the tools to do it fast and clearly.
Open the live market, switch on the pace graph, and apply the three steps in your next match. A price with value won’t wait—browse the sports results today hub, choose, and bet smart.